Area Forecast Discussion

[category weatherwire]
.AVIATION...
FEW SHOWERS HOLDING ON NEAR MIAMI-DADE TERMINALS SO HAVE KEPT VCSH
IN PLACE THERE THROUGH 9Z...OTHERWISE DRY UNTIL AT LEAST 16Z
AREAWIDE. POPS ONLY 20-30 ACROSS EASTERN TAF SITES...SO KEPT VCSH
ONGOING AT MORE NORTHERN/INLAND SITES OF FXE AND PBI...WITH NO
PCPN IN TAFS ELSEWHERE ON EAST COAST. FOR NAPLES...GULF BREEZE
SHOULD FIRE CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON...SO VCTS IN
PLACE...ALTHOUGH WIND TRANSITION FROM PREVAILING EASTERLY FLOW TO
WSW. AFTER 0Z...LIGHT EAST WINDS AND NO PCPN FOR ALL TERMINALS.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE EARLY WEEK AWAY FROM SHOWERS/TSTMS.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 PM EDT SAT JUN 14 2014/

DISCUSSION...

THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH SUNDAY AND THEREAFTER IS FORECAST
TO SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD BUT COULD LINGER ACROSS THE REGION INTO
EARLY THIS WEEK. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE
AFOREMENTIONED 700-500 HPA LAPSE RATES WILL PERSIST SUNDAY AND
POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY. THAT COUPLED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUING AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE...WITH PWAT'S FORECAST TO BE
AROUND 1.6 INCHES SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH SIMILAR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO TUESDAY.

MARINE...

WITH A WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE AROUND 10 KNOTS OR LESS ACROSS THE LOCAL GULF AND
ATLANTIC WATERS THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH SEAS FORECAST TO BE 2 FEET OR LESS THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 89 75 88 75 / 30 20 30 20
FORT LAUDERDALE 89 78 89 78 / 30 20 20 20
MIAMI 90 77 89 76 / 30 20 30 20
NAPLES 90 73 91 73 / 30 20 20 20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...54/BNB
LONG TERM....60/BD
AVIATION...23/SK



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